Polymarket
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform built on Polygon. Markets cover a wide range of topics including stocks, earnings, and corporate events. All probabilities and volume data are sourced directly from Polymarket's public API.
Active Markets
120
Total Volume
$5.4M
Brier Score
0.029
Lower is better
Hit Rate
96%
1055 resolved markets
About Polymarket
Polymarket operates on the Polygon blockchain, allowing users to trade outcome shares that pay out $1 if the predicted event occurs. Market prices directly reflect the crowd's probability estimate for each outcome.
How it works: Traders buy and sell shares priced between $0.00 and $1.00. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% probability. When the market resolves, shares of the winning outcome pay $1 each, while losing shares become worthless.
Top Active Markets
View all marketsMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
71%
Yes
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
89%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?
19%
Yes
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
6%
Yes
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?
59%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
55%
Yes
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
23%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?
13%
Yes
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?
55%
Yes
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?
70%
Yes