Polymarket
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform built on Polygon. Markets cover a wide range of topics including stocks, earnings, and corporate events. All probabilities and volume data are sourced directly from Polymarket's public API.
Active Markets
145
Total Volume
$513.1K
Brier Score
0.029
Lower is better
Hit Rate
96%
1055 resolved markets
About Polymarket
Polymarket operates on the Polygon blockchain, allowing users to trade outcome shares that pay out $1 if the predicted event occurs. Market prices directly reflect the crowd's probability estimate for each outcome.
How it works: Traders buy and sell shares priced between $0.00 and $1.00. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% probability. When the market resolves, shares of the winning outcome pay $1 each, while losing shares become worthless.
Top Active Markets
View all marketsWill MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%
Yes
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
14%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?
23%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August?
4%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August?
7%
Yes
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?
57%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?
28%
Yes
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 in August?
5%
Yes
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August?
2%
Yes
Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings?
92%
Yes