Polymarket
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform built on Polygon. Markets cover a wide range of topics including stocks, earnings, and corporate events. All probabilities and volume data are sourced directly from Polymarket's public API.
Active Markets
127
Total Volume
$461.5K
Brier Score
0.029
Lower is better
Hit Rate
96%
1055 resolved markets
About Polymarket
Polymarket operates on the Polygon blockchain, allowing users to trade outcome shares that pay out $1 if the predicted event occurs. Market prices directly reflect the crowd's probability estimate for each outcome.
How it works: Traders buy and sell shares priced between $0.00 and $1.00. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% probability. When the market resolves, shares of the winning outcome pay $1 each, while losing shares become worthless.
Top Active Markets
View all marketsWill MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
4%
Yes
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
17%
Yes
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July?
11%
Yes
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in July?
2%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 in July?
71%
Yes
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?
7%
Yes
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?
3%
Yes
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in July?
6%
Yes
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
93%
Yes
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $440 in July?
2%
Yes