Markets currently price a 11% chance of YES.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
Volume
$44.8K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Start Date
Feb 3, 2026
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
This market asks whether MicroStrategy will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026 before January 1, 2027.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) is a major technology company in the Technology sector.
As of today, the market implies a roughly 11% probability of this outcome.
At just 11%, the market considers this outcome unlikely. Unexpected developments could still change the calculus.