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Home/Markets/NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Current Market Odds

16.5%Yes
83.5%No

Markets currently price a 17% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: Jul 10, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

ICEFinancepolymarketactive

Volume

$75.7K

Liquidity

$12.2K

Start Date

Nov 7, 2025

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes16.5%
No83.5%

About This Market

This market assesses the probability of a specific outcome related to Intercontinental Exchange before December 31, 2026.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is a leading financial services company in the Finance sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 17% probability of this outcome.

The market leans against this outcome, but it's far from ruled out. A positive surprise could shift sentiment quickly.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro

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Company

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Learn More

About Polymarket →How we measure accuracy →What is a prediction market? →