Markets currently price a 17% chance of YES.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$75.7K
Liquidity
$12.0K
Start Date
Nov 7, 2025
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
This market assesses the probability of a specific outcome related to Intercontinental Exchange before December 31, 2026.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is a leading financial services company in the Finance sector.
As of today, the market implies a roughly 17% probability of this outcome.
The market leans against this outcome, but it's far from ruled out. A positive surprise could shift sentiment quickly.