Markets currently price a 9% chance of YES.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$121.6K
Liquidity
$13.0K
Start Date
Nov 7, 2025
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
This market assesses the probability of a specific outcome related to Intercontinental Exchange before January 1, 2027.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is a leading financial services company in the Finance sector.
As of today, the market implies a roughly 9% probability of this outcome.
At just 9%, the market considers this outcome unlikely. Unexpected developments could still change the calculus.