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Home/Markets/Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 on Septe...

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 on September 3?

Current Market Odds

50.0%Yes
50.0%No

Markets currently price a 50% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: Oct 10, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 3, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

MSFTTechnologypolymarketactive

Volume

$13.33

Liquidity

$0.16

Start Date

Sep 2, 2026

End Date

Sep 3, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes50.0%
No50.0%

About This Market

This market asks whether Microsoft stock will close above $510 before September 3, 2026.

Microsoft (MSFT) is a major technology company in the Technology sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 50% probability of this outcome.

With odds near 50/50, the market sees genuine uncertainty here. This represents an opportunity where new information could swing sentiment decisively in either direction.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

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