21
Active Markets
42
Resolved
63
Total Tracked
Prediction accuracy: 100% hit rate, Brier 0.000
Based on 42 resolved markets
Traders are currently pricing outcomes across 21 active markets for Microsoft.
Last updated: Oct 10, 2026
Microsoft (MSFT) is a major technology company operating in the Technology sector. Technology sector companies are frequently the subject of prediction markets due to their rapid innovation cycles, earnings volatility, and significant market impact.
21
Active Markets
42
Resolved Markets
63
Total Tracked
Across 42 resolved markets, predictions have shown excellent directional accuracy (100% hit rate) with exceptional calibration (Brier score: 0.000).
The Brier score measures how close predictions were to actual outcomes (lower is better, 0 is perfect). The hit rate shows how often the market's favored outcome actually occurred.
With 21 active prediction markets, traders are currently making forecasts about Microsoft's upcoming events. These markets aggregate the collective wisdom of participants who have financial incentives to be accurate, often providing insights that complement traditional analyst forecasts.
Will Microsoft’s market capitalization be less than $2.50T at the end of 2026?
50%
Yes
Will Microsoft’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?
50%
Yes
Will Microsoft’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?
50%
Yes
Will Microsoft’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?
50%
Yes
Will Microsoft’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?
50%
Yes
Will Microsoft’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
50%
Yes
Will Microsoft’s market capitalization be at least $5.00T at the end of 2026?
50%
Yes
Will Microsoft (MSFT) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?
38%
Yes
Microsoft (MSFT) is tracked across multiple prediction markets in the Technology sector. Our platform aggregates market data from Polymarket and Kalshi to provide real-time probability estimates for Microsoft-related events including earnings outcomes, stock price targets, and corporate milestones.