Markets currently price a 41% chance of YES.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$650.54
Liquidity
$354.37
Start Date
Mar 9, 2026
End Date
May 1, 2026
This market asks whether Tesla stock will close above $420 before May 1, 2026.
Tesla (TSLA) is a significant player in the automotive industry in the Automotive sector.
As of today, the market implies a roughly 34% probability of this outcome.
The market leans against this outcome, but it's far from ruled out. A positive surprise could shift sentiment quickly.