2
Active Markets
43
Resolved
45
Total Tracked
Prediction accuracy: 98% hit rate, Brier 0.013
Based on 43 resolved markets
Traders are currently pricing outcomes across 2 active markets for Tesla.
Last updated: May 18, 2026
Tesla (TSLA) is a significant player in the automotive industry operating in the Automotive sector. Automotive companies see prediction market activity around production numbers, EV adoption, and supply chain developments.
2
Active Markets
43
Resolved Markets
45
Total Tracked
Across 43 resolved markets, predictions have shown excellent directional accuracy (98% hit rate) with exceptional calibration (Brier score: 0.013).
The Brier score measures how close predictions were to actual outcomes (lower is better, 0 is perfect). The hit rate shows how often the market's favored outcome actually occurred.
With 2 active prediction markets, traders are currently making forecasts about Tesla's upcoming events. These markets aggregate the collective wisdom of participants who have financial incentives to be accurate, often providing insights that complement traditional analyst forecasts.
Tesla (TSLA) is tracked across multiple prediction markets in the Automotive sector. Our platform aggregates market data from Polymarket and Kalshi to provide real-time probability estimates for Tesla-related events including earnings outcomes, stock price targets, and corporate milestones.