Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

This market asks whether Marriott International will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting before March 17, 2027.

Marriott International (MAR) is a leading travel and hospitality company in the Travel sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 50% probability of this outcome.

With odds near 50/50, the market sees genuine uncertainty here. This represents an opportunity where new information could swing sentiment decisively in either direction.