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Home/Markets/Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1...

Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?

Current Market Odds

18.0%Yes
82.0%No

Markets currently price a 18% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: Sep 18, 2026

This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

METATechnologypolymarketactive

Volume

$52.80

Liquidity

$1.1K

Start Date

Aug 21, 2026

End Date

Oct 31, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes18.0%
No82.0%

About This Market

This market asks whether Meta Platforms will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026 before October 31, 2026.

Meta Platforms (META) is a major technology company in the Technology sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 18% probability of this outcome.

The market leans against this outcome, but it's far from ruled out. A positive surprise could shift sentiment quickly.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

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