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Home/Markets/Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May?

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May?

Current Market Odds

2.5%Yes
97.5%No

Markets currently price a 2% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: May 18, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

AAPLTechnologypolymarketactive

Volume

$2.5K

Liquidity

$1.9K

Start Date

Apr 25, 2026

End Date

Jun 1, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes2.5%
No97.5%

About This Market

This market asks whether Apple will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May before June 1, 2026.

Apple (AAPL) is a major technology company in the Technology sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 2% probability of this outcome.

At just 2%, the market considers this outcome unlikely. Unexpected developments could still change the calculus.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

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