Markets currently price a 21% chance of YES.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$6.1K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Start Date
Feb 27, 2026
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
This market asks whether Tesla stock will close above $380 before March 31, 2026.
Tesla (TSLA) is a significant player in the automotive industry in the Automotive sector.
As of today, the market implies a roughly 26% probability of this outcome.
The market leans against this outcome, but it's far from ruled out. A positive surprise could shift sentiment quickly.