MP
Market Predictions
HomeMarketsCompaniesAnalyticsBlogAboutAPI
HomeMarketsCompaniesAnalyticsBlogAboutAPI
MP
Market Predictions

Track stock and earnings prediction markets with accuracy scoring.

Browse

  • All Markets
  • All Companies
  • Analytics

Data Sources

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi

Resources

  • Blog
  • Developer API
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • About

Data sourced from Polymarket and Kalshi. Not financial advice.

//
Home/Markets/Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterl...

Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Current Market Odds

70.0%Yes
30.0%No

Markets currently price a 70% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: Aug 4, 2026

As of market creation, Circle Internet Group is estimated to release earnings on August 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Circle Internet Group's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.16 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Circle Internet Group reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.16 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Circle Internet Group releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

CRCLTechnologypolymarketactive

Volume

$5.7K

Liquidity

$1.5K

Start Date

Jul 24, 2026

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes70.0%
No30.0%

About This Market

This market asks whether Circle Internet Group, Inc. will beat earnings expectations before August 5, 2026.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) is a major technology company in the Technology sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 75% probability of this outcome.

The market leans toward this outcome happening, but significant uncertainty remains. Investors should watch for catalysts that could confirm or challenge this expectation.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro

Related Markets

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

MSTR4%

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in May?

META50%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $384 in August?

AAPL1%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in August?

AAPL1%

Company

View all CRCL markets

Learn More

About Polymarket →How we measure accuracy →What is a prediction market? →