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Home/Markets/Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Current Market Odds

91.5%Yes
8.5%No

Markets currently price a 92% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: Jul 10, 2026

As of market creation, BlackRock is estimated to release earnings on July 14, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for BlackRock’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $12.55 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if BlackRock reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $12.55 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If BlackRock releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

BLKFinancepolymarketactive

Volume

$479.95

Liquidity

$697.26

Start Date

Jul 1, 2026

End Date

Jul 14, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes91.5%
No8.5%

About This Market

This market asks whether BlackRock will beat earnings expectations before July 14, 2026.

BlackRock (BLK) is a leading financial services company in the Finance sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 92% probability of this outcome.

With the market pricing this at 92%, traders consider this outcome highly likely. However, prediction markets can shift quickly if new information emerges.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

Coming in Pro
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