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Home/Markets/Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?

Current Market Odds

91.0%Yes
9.0%No

Markets currently price a 91% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: Sep 18, 2026

As of market creation, Micron is estimated to release earnings on September 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Micron’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $32.22 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $32.22 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Micron releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

MUSemiconductorspolymarketactive

Volume

$1.7K

Liquidity

$885.94

Start Date

Sep 16, 2026

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes91.0%
No9.0%

About This Market

This market asks whether Micron Technology will beat earnings expectations before September 30, 2026.

Micron Technology (MU) is a leading semiconductor company in the Semiconductors sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 91% probability of this outcome.

With the market pricing this at 91%, traders consider this outcome highly likely. However, prediction markets can shift quickly if new information emerges.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro

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