MP
Market Predictions
HomeMarketsCompaniesAnalyticsBlogAboutAPI
HomeMarketsCompaniesAnalyticsBlogAboutAPI
MP
Market Predictions

Track stock and earnings prediction markets with accuracy scoring.

Browse

  • All Markets
  • All Companies
  • Analytics

Data Sources

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi

Resources

  • Blog
  • Developer API
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • About

Data sourced from Polymarket and Kalshi. Not financial advice.

//
Home/Markets/Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly ear...

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?

Current Market Odds

85.5%Yes
14.5%No

Markets currently price a 86% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: Apr 1, 2026

As of market creation, Johnson & Johnson is estimated to release earnings on April 14, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Johnson & Johnson’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.68 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Johnson & Johnson reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.68 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Johnson & Johnson releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

JNJHealthcarepolymarketactive

Volume

$298.23

Liquidity

$2.6K

Start Date

Mar 30, 2026

End Date

Apr 14, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes85.5%
No14.5%

About This Market

This market asks whether Johnson & Johnson will beat earnings expectations before April 14, 2026.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is a major healthcare company in the Healthcare sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 82% probability of this outcome.

The market leans toward this outcome happening, but significant uncertainty remains. Investors should watch for catalysts that could confirm or challenge this expectation.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro

Related Markets

No related markets found.

Company

View all Johnson & Johnson markets

Learn More

About Polymarket →How we measure accuracy →What is a prediction market? →