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Home/Markets/Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?

Current Market Odds

38.5%Yes
61.5%No

Markets currently price a 39% chance of YES.

Source:Polymarket
Status:active
Updated: Nov 2, 2026

As of market creation, Airbnb is estimated to release earnings on November 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Airbnb's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.91 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Airbnb reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.91 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Airbnb releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

ABNBTravelpolymarketactive

Volume

$283.17

Liquidity

$169.23

Start Date

Oct 27, 2026

End Date

Nov 5, 2026

Current Probabilities

Yes38.5%
No61.5%

About This Market

This market asks whether Airbnb will beat earnings expectations before November 5, 2026.

Airbnb (ABNB) is a leading travel and hospitality company in the Travel sector.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 80% probability of this outcome.

The market leans toward this outcome happening, but significant uncertainty remains. Investors should watch for catalysts that could confirm or challenge this expectation.

Probability Over Timewith stock price overlay

Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro
Coming in Pro

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