8
Active Markets
30
Resolved
38
Total Tracked
Prediction accuracy: 100% hit rate, Brier 0.001
Based on 30 resolved markets
Traders are currently pricing outcomes across 8 active markets for NVIDIA.
Last updated: Oct 10, 2026
NVIDIA (NVDA) is a leading semiconductor company operating in the Semiconductors sector. Semiconductor companies attract prediction market interest due to cyclical demand patterns, supply chain dynamics, and their critical role in technology infrastructure.
8
Active Markets
30
Resolved Markets
38
Total Tracked
Across 30 resolved markets, predictions have shown excellent directional accuracy (100% hit rate) with exceptional calibration (Brier score: 0.001).
The Brier score measures how close predictions were to actual outcomes (lower is better, 0 is perfect). The hit rate shows how often the market's favored outcome actually occurred.
With 8 active prediction markets, traders are currently making forecasts about NVIDIA's upcoming events. These markets aggregate the collective wisdom of participants who have financial incentives to be accurate, often providing insights that complement traditional analyst forecasts.
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?
3%
Yes
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?
4%
Yes
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
5%
Yes
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?
16%
Yes
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?
23%
Yes
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $6.00T and $6.50T at the end of 2026?
26%
Yes
NVIDIA (NVDA) is tracked across multiple prediction markets in the Semiconductors sector. Our platform aggregates market data from Polymarket and Kalshi to provide real-time probability estimates for NVIDIA-related events including earnings outcomes, stock price targets, and corporate milestones.