Netflix (NFLX) Stock Prediction Market Performance – Polymarket vs Kalshi Accuracy & Prediction Market Overview

Netflix (NFLX) is a major streaming and entertainment company operating in the Streaming sector. Streaming companies attract prediction market interest around subscriber growth, content investments, and competitive positioning.

Prediction Accuracy

Across 29 resolved markets, predictions have shown excellent directional accuracy (100% hit rate) with exceptional calibration (Brier score: 0.000).

The Brier score measures how close predictions were to actual outcomes (lower is better, 0 is perfect). The hit rate shows how often the market's favored outcome actually occurred.

What Traders Are Watching

With 14 active prediction markets, traders are currently making forecasts about Netflix's upcoming events. These markets aggregate the collective wisdom of participants who have financial incentives to be accurate, often providing insights that complement traditional analyst forecasts.